For Traders

Trade with intelligence,
not guesswork

Every week, TradeFlow NG analyses prices across 8 Nigerian states and tells you exactly where to buy, where to sell, and what profit to expect — before you commit to the journey.

Access the Platform → See How It Works

From market data to profitable decision

Four automated steps happen every week — so your recommendation is ready every Monday morning.

01

Field agents collect live prices

Our network of verified field agents visits key markets across 8 states every week. They report commodity prices, market activity, road conditions, and supply availability using a structured mobile form. Every submission is timestamped and geolocated.

Weekly submissions this month
Oyo — Bodija✓ Submitted
Nasarawa — Lafia✓ Submitted
Abuja — Wuse✓ Submitted
Niger — Minna✓ Submitted
02

AI forecasts next-week prices

Our forecasting model (Facebook Prophet) trains on historical price data enriched by real agent submissions. It generates 7-day price predictions for every commodity in every state, with confidence intervals that show how certain the forecast is. High-uncertainty days are flagged automatically.

Yam — Nasarawa — 7-day forecast
Current price₦17,064/bag
Forecast (7 days)₦18,200/bag
ConfidenceHigh ✓
03

Optimizer finds the best route

A linear programming engine analyses every possible origin-destination-commodity combination simultaneously. It accounts for truck capacity, transport costs, perishability constraints (perishable goods cannot share a truck with durable goods), and supply limits. It finds the mathematically optimal set of trades for the week.

This week's top route
CommodityYam
Buy atNasarawa · ₦17,064
Sell atOyo · ₦24,467
30.3% margin
04

You receive a specific recommendation

Every week you get a ranked list of trade recommendations — not a general dashboard of prices, but a specific instruction: what to buy, where, in what quantity, where to sell it, and what profit to expect. Risk levels are shown clearly. Backhaul opportunities are included so your truck earns on the return journey too.

Your recommendation
🌾 Yam · Nasarawa → Oyo
22 bags · 580km · Fair road
₦162,870 profit
↩ Backhaul available: Rice · Oyo → Nasarawa

Phase 1 commodities — live now

We track the four highest-volume inter-state commodities on Nigeria's north-south corridor. Phase 2 adds four more.

🍠
Yam
Semi-Perishable · Bag (100kg)

Nigeria produces 67% of the world's yam. The Nasarawa–Oyo–Lagos corridor is the most active yam trade route in West Africa. Supply peaks March–June and October–December.

Nasarawa ↗ supply Niger ↗ supply Oyo ↗ hub Lagos ↗ demand
🌽
Maize
Durable · Bag (100kg)

The most widely consumed grain in Nigeria. Durable classification means longer transport windows and lower spoilage risk. Strong demand from food processors, poultry farmers, and distributors.

Nasarawa ↗ supply Kogi ↗ bridge Abuja ↗ demand Lagos ↗ demand
🌾
Rice
Durable · Bag (50kg)

Locally milled rice moves heavily through the Kogi–Oyo–Ogun corridor. Price differentials between supply and demand states regularly reach 15–25%, making it one of the most profitable commodities to trade.

Kogi ↗ supply Nasarawa ↗ supply Oyo ↗ hub Ogun ↗ demand
🍅
Tomato
Perishable · Crate (8kg)

The highest-margin commodity in our system — price differentials of 40%+ are common. But perishability means timing and routing are critical. Our optimizer flags tomato routes with special risk indicators.

Niger ↗ supply Kwara ↗ supply Oyo ↗ demand Lagos ↗ demand
🧅
Onion — Phase 2
Semi-Perishable

Coming in Phase 2. Strong north-south trade flows from Kebbi and Sokoto into southern demand markets.

🌶
Pepper — Phase 2
Perishable

Coming in Phase 2. Volatile pricing creates significant opportunity for well-timed trades.

Simple, transparent pricing

Start free during our pilot period. Upgrade when you see the results in your pocket.

Pilot Access
Free
During pilot period · Limited spots
  • Weekly route recommendations
  • 7-day price forecasts (4 commodities)
  • 8-state coverage
  • Risk and confidence indicators
  • WhatsApp broadcast delivery
Get Started Free →

Common questions

How accurate are the price forecasts? +
Our model targets a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) below 15% — meaning our forecast is within 15% of the actual price. We flag any forecast where confidence is lower so you always know how certain the system is. As real agent data accumulates, accuracy improves continuously through our weekly retraining cycle.
Do I need a smartphone or laptop? +
No laptop required. The agent and trader dashboards are fully mobile-optimised and work on any modern smartphone browser. Recommendations can also be sent via WhatsApp broadcast, so you receive your weekly route suggestion in the same app you already use daily.
What happens if I follow a recommendation and the price is wrong? +
We encourage you to log the actual outcome in the Feedback section of the platform. This data directly improves the next forecast for that corridor. During the pilot period, we are building our evidence base from real trade outcomes — your feedback makes the entire system smarter.
What states and markets do you cover? +
We currently cover Lagos, Oyo, Ogun, Kwara, Kogi, Abuja (FCT), Nasarawa, and Niger State — the 8 states on Nigeria's primary north-south agricultural trade corridor. We are adding more states as our agent network grows. Contact us if your state is not yet covered.
Is my trading data kept private? +
Yes. Your individual trade outcomes and feedback are never shared with other traders. We use aggregated, anonymised price data to improve our models. Your personal trading activity and routes remain completely private.

Start trading smarter this week

Join the pilot — free access to weekly trade recommendations across 8 Nigerian states.

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